WRO vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 9, 2024 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Artem Laguta3 3 3 2 213+1
- 10Dan Bewley1 1 0 0 13
- 11Bartłomiej Kowalski2 3 3 3 314+1
- 12Francis Gusts1 0 0 01
- 13Maciej Janowski3 1 3 2 312
- 14Marcel KowolikD 3 03
- 15Jakub Krawczyk1 0 23+1
- 1Dominik Kubera0 2 2 3 W7+1
- 2Jack Holder0 3 1 15+1
- 3Fredrik Lindgren1 2 2 3 19
- 4Mateusz Cierniak2 1 1 1 27+2
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 2 2 1 07
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski2 D 13+2
- 7Bartosz Bańbor3 0 03
Heat by heat
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2*
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO1
- Marcel Kowolik · WROD
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Francis Gusts · WRO1
- Jack Holder · LUB0
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUBD
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Francis Gusts · WRO0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Jack Holder · LUB1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB1*
- Francis Gusts · WRO0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Francis Gusts · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO2*
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 24 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h W
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| WRO | LUB | WRO | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 5 | 5.7 | 14 | +8.3 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 6.8 | 12 | +5.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 9.8 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Marcel Kowolik | 3 | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Francis Gusts | 4 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 8.9 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 3 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 7.5 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.3 | 7 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.