GRU vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 11, 2024 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Max Fricke3 3 2 2 212+2
- 10Jaimon Lidsey3 1 3 2 110+1
- 11Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 3 3 314+1
- 12Kacper Pludra1 0 12+1
- 13Vadim Tarasenko2 2 1 3 311+1
- 14Kacper Łobodziński3 1 04
- 15Kevin Małkiewicz2 3 1 17+1
- 1Mikkel Michelsen0 1 01
- 2Maksym Drabik0 00
- 3Mads Hansen1 1 2 2 0 28+2
- 4Kacper Woryna2 2 3 1 W 19
- 5Leon Madsen3 2 2 3 111
- 6Kajetan Kupiec1 0 01
- 7Bartosz Śmigielski0 U0
- 8Szymon Ludwiczak0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2*
- Mads Hansen · CZE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Bartosz Śmigielski · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1*
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1*
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Mads Hansen · CZE2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Max Fricke · GRU2*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Mads Hansen · CZE2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Mads Hansen · CZE0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Mads Hansen · CZE2
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Bartosz Śmigielski · CZEU
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Max Fricke · GRU2*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 20 km/h W
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 37 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GRU | CZE | GRU | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.1 | 14 | +4.9 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 4 | 3.2 | 7 | +3.8 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 6.8 | 10 | +3.2 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 9.0 | 12 | +3.0 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Kacper Pludra | 3 | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| Szymon Ludwiczak | 3 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Bartosz Śmigielski | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Mads Hansen | 6 | 9.9 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Maksym Drabik | 2 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 12.7 | 9 | -3.7 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 3 | 5.1 | 1 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.