LUB vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 2, 2024 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Dominik Kubera2 3 1 2 210
- 10Mateusz Cierniak3 T 3 06
- 11Jack Holder1 3 3 2 110+1
- 12Fredrik Lindgren2 1 0 14+2
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 1 313
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 2 2 29+3
- 15Bartosz Bańbor1 2 03+1
- 16Bartosz Jaworski00
- 1Benjamin Cook3 1 0 3 07
- 3Andzejs Lebedevs0 0 D 3 36
- 4Keynan Rew1 2 1 15
- 5Grzegorz Zengota1 1 2 2 28+1
- 6Antoni Mencel0 0 11+1
- 7Damian Ratajczak2 0 13
- 8Nazar Parnitskyi0 0 2 3 05
Heat by heat
- Benjamin Cook · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Jack Holder · LUB1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Damian Ratajczak · LES2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2*
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Keynan Rew · LES2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2*
- Benjamin Cook · LES1
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2*
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LESD
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Benjamin Cook · LES0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Antoni Mencel · LES1*
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB0
- Benjamin Cook · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1*
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Benjamin Cook · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 21 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 2 km/h NE
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LUB | LES | LUB | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +16 | 99 % |
| 7 | +20 | 100 % |
| 8 | +24 | 100 % |
| 9 | +26 | 100 % |
| 10 | +26 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 4 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Nazar Parnitskyi | 5 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Benjamin Cook | 5 | 7.0 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 10.2 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Antoni Mencel | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Bartosz Jaworski | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 7.9 | 4 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.