CZE vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, August 8, 2024 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Mikkel Michelsen3 0 0 1 15+1
- 10Maksym Drabik0 3 1 04
- 11Mads Hansen1 1 35
- 12Kacper Woryna3 0 3 2 3 314
- 13Leon Madsen2 1 3 2 3 213+3
- 14Kacper Halkiewicz2 1 0 14
- 15Kajetan KupiecD 00
- 1Przemysław PawlickiD 2 3 0 27+1
- 2Jan Kvech0 3 2 2 07+1
- 3Rasmus Jensen2 3 1 2 W8+1
- 4Jarosław Hampel3 2 2 3 111+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki1 2 1 15+1
- 6Krzysztof Sadurski3 2 05+1
- 7Oskar Hurysz1 1 02+1
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIED
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE3
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE2
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE1
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZED
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE2*
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2*
- Mads Hansen · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Jan Kvech · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2*
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1*
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Mads Hansen · CZE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIEW
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 93 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| CZE | ZIE | CZE | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 10.6 | 14 | +3.4 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Kacper Halkiewicz | 4 | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Mads Hansen | 3 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Jan Kvech | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 13.8 | 13 | -0.8 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Maksym Drabik | 4 | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.3 | 5 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.