ZIE vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 26, 2024 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 T 3 1 310
- 10Rasmus Jensen3 2 1 2 311
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki1 3 2 3 09
- 12Jan Kvech2 0 1 3 06+1
- 13Piotr Pawlicki1 1 2 04+1
- 14Oskar Hurysz2 0 1 03+1
- 15Krzysztof Sadurski0 0 D0
- 1Dominik Kubera2 3 2 0 18+1
- 2Jack Holder0 2 0 24+1
- 3Fredrik Lindgren0 2 1 1 26
- 4Mateusz Cierniak2 1 3 2 19+2
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 214
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski3 1 04+1
- 7Bartosz Bańbor1 0 12
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1*
- Jack Holder · LUB0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB1*
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1
- Jack Holder · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1*
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB0
- Jan Kvech · ZIE3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 21 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h SW
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ZIE | LUB | ZIE | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 6.6 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.8 | 14 | +2.2 |
| Jan Kvech | 5 | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 4 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 3 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.9 | 6 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.