TOR vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 28, 2024 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek3 3 1 3 313+1
- 10Robert Lambert3 T 2 1 39+1
- 11Wiktor Lampart0 00
- 12Paweł PrzedpełskiW 1 2 0 03
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 3 2 212+1
- 14Antoni Kawczyński3 1 1 1 28
- 15Krzysztof Lewandowski2 1 0 14+3
- 1Mikkel Michelsen2 3 3 1 09+1
- 2Maksym Drabik1 0 0 3 15+1
- 3Mads Hansen1 0 01+1
- 4Kacper Woryna2 2 2 2 210+1
- 5Leon Madsen2 3 2 3 3 114
- 6Kajetan Kupiec1 0 12
- 7Kacper Halkiewicz0 00
- 8Bartosz Śmigielski00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR3
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR2*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR1
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1*
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR1
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR1
- Mads Hansen · CZE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1*
- Bartosz Śmigielski · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Mads Hansen · CZE0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 8.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | CZE | TOR | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.1 | 13 | +3.9 |
| Antoni Kawczyński | 5 | 4.8 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 4 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Robert Lambert | 4 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 13.7 | 14 | +0.3 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Bartosz Śmigielski | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Kacper Halkiewicz | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Mads Hansen | 3 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.