GRU vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 26, 2024 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Max Fricke2 2 3 3 1 112+1
- 10Jaimon Lidsey0 1 2 3 28+2
- 11Michael Jepsen Jensen0 3 1 3 310
- 12Kacper Pludra00
- 13Vadim Tarasenko2 0 3 3 2 010+1
- 14Kacper Łobodziński1 2 03
- 15Kevin Małkiewicz0 2 0 13
- 1Martin Vaculik1 3 1 0 16
- 2Jakub Miśkowiak1 1 02
- 3Oskar Fajfer3 0 2 0 27+1
- 4Szymon Woźniak1 1 1 25+1
- 5Anders Thomsen3 2 3 1 312
- 6Oskar Paluch3 3 2 2 T10+1
- 7Jakub Stojanowski2 0 0 02+1
Heat by heat
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR2*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Max Fricke · GRU2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR1
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Oskar Paluch · GOR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Oskar Paluch · GOR2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 4 km/h SE
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 7 | 17 | −10 | +10 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GRU | GOR | GRU | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -10 | 8 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Paluch | 4 | 6.1 | 10 | +3.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 10.8 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 10.9 | 12 | +1.1 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Jakub Stojanowski | 4 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 4 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Kacper Pludra | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 11.3 | 6 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.