WRO vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 19, 2024 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław

Results

WRO 48 : 42 TOR
WRO
TOR

Heat by heat

Heat 165.37 s1:5
Heat 265.50 s5:1
Heat 364.67 s4:2
Heat 465.41 s3:3
Heat 565.29 s5:1
Heat 665.00 s3:3
Heat 765.80 s5:1
Heat 865.36 s1:5
Heat 965.35 s3:3
Heat 1064.94 s3:3
Heat 1165.55 s5:1
Heat 1265.56 s3:3
Heat 1365.00 s1:5
Heat 1464.90 s3:3
Heat 1564.70 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
27 → 22 °C
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Wind
6 km/h NE
gusts up to 13 km/h
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
53 %
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41311+2−2
5–7135+8−8
8–10711−4+4
11–139900
14–156600
WROTORWROTOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead WRO
-4-20246810115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1-445 %
2064 %
3+277 %
4+273 %
5+690 %
6+688 %
7+1097 %
8+690 %
9+689 %
10+692 %
11+1097 %
12+1098 %
13+696 %
14+6100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Artem Laguta59.812+2.2
Marcel Kowolik43.15+1.9
Jakub Krawczyk32.94+1.1
Maciej Janowski59.010+1.0
Dan Bewley57.48+0.6
Bartłomiej Kowalski56.57+0.5
Robert Lambert611.712+0.3
Wiktor Lampart42.82-0.8
Patryk Dudek611.911-0.9
Krzysztof Lewandowski42.92-0.9
Mikkel Andersen33.12-1.1
Antoni Kawczyński22.21-1.2
Paweł Przedpełski23.22-1.2
Emil Sajfutdinow613.612-1.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 65.8064.67 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 40.7:25.3 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −0.83 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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