GOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 21, 2024 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak3 3 1 2 110+1
- 10Oskar Fajfer2 1 2 2 18+1
- 11Martin Vaculik1 3 2 3 09
- 12Jakub Miśkowiak0 2 0 02+1
- 13Anders Thomsen3 3 2 1 312+1
- 14Oskar Paluch3 3 17+1
- 15Jakub Stojanowski0 0 00
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 3 3 3 013
- 2Rasmus Jensen1 1 0 24+3
- 3Jan Kvech0 11
- 4Jarosław Hampel1 0 3 1 38
- 5Piotr Pawlicki2 2 3 2 0 211
- 6Krzysztof Sadurski2 0 1 14+1
- 7Oskar Hurysz1 01+1
- 8Michał Curzytek00
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE2
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE1*
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR2*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Oskar Paluch · GOR1*
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE1*
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 31 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h S
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 31 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GOR | ZIE | GOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 8.7 | 13 | +4.3 |
| Oskar Paluch | 3 | 4.0 | 7 | +3.0 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 4 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Michał Curzytek | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Jan Kvech | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Jakub Stojanowski | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 10.2 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 11.6 | 9 | -2.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 4 | 7.4 | 4 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.