TOR vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 7, 2024 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek3 2 3 2 111+1
- 10Robert Lambert3 1 2 1 310+3
- 11Wiktor Lampart0 0 0 22
- 12Paweł Przedpełski1 1 2 3 07
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 2 2 313
- 14Antoni Kawczyński2 0 13+1
- 15Krzysztof Lewandowski1 0 12+2
- 1Dominik Kubera2 2 1 1 17+1
- 2Jack Holder0 1 0 3 26+1
- 3Fredrik Lindgren1 2 3 3 211+2
- 4Mateusz Cierniak1 3 0 04+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 3 0 08
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski3 2 16
- 7Bartosz Bańbor0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Jack Holder · LUB0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Jack Holder · LUB1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Jack Holder · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 22 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h SW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| TOR | LUB | TOR | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 8.1 | 13 | +4.9 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 4.5 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 3 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Antoni Kawczyński | 3 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 9.5 | 6 | -3.5 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.0 | 8 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.