GRU vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 5, 2024 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Max Fricke2 3 3 3 213
- 10Jaimon Lidsey3 1 2 2 08+2
- 11Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 3 2 19+2
- 12Kacper Pludra1 1 13+1
- 13Vadim Tarasenko2 T 2 3 18+1
- 14Kacper Łobodziński3 2 0 3 08+1
- 15Kevin Małkiewicz1 1 02
- 1Bartłomiej Kowalski0 3 0 2 27+1
- 2Dan Bewley0 2 1 3 06+1
- 3Artem Laguta3 W 1 1 0 38+1
- 5Maciej Janowski3 3 2 2 1 314
- 6Jakub KrawczykT 0 00
- 7Marcel Kowolik2 0 13
- 8William Drejer1 01
Heat by heat
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU3
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU2*
- William Drejer · WRO1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2*
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- William Drejer · WRO0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2*
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Artem Laguta · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 17 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h S
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| GRU | WRO | GRU | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 9.5 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 5 | 4.6 | 8 | +3.4 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 9.9 | 13 | +3.1 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Kacper Pludra | 3 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 5 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Marcel Kowolik | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| William Drejer | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 10.4 | 6 | -4.4 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 14.6 | 8 | -6.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.