CZE vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 5, 2024 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Mikkel Michelsen2 M 1 3 1 D7+1
- 10Maksym Drabik1 M 3 2 0 17
- 11Kacper Woryna1 1 24+1
- 12Mads Hansen1 0 34+1
- 13Leon Madsen2 3 3 2 2 315+1
- 14Kacper Halkiewicz0 00
- 15Szymon Ludwiczak3 0 0 14
- 1Martin Vaculik3 2 2 3 212
- 2Jakub Miśkowiak0 1 0 34+1
- 3Oskar Fajfer0 2 1 1 04+2
- 4Szymon Woźniak3 3 2 0 210
- 5Anders Thomsen3 3 1 3 111
- 6Oskar Paluch2 2 04+1
- 7Jakub Stojanowski1 2 W3+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE3
- Oskar Paluch · GOR2
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR1*
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Oskar Paluch · GOR2*
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Mads Hansen · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR1*
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR2
- Maksym Drabik · CZEM
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZEM
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1*
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Mads Hansen · CZE3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZED
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h SW
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 4 | 13 | −9 | +9 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| CZE | GOR | CZE | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -13 | 4 % |
| 8 | -13 | 2 % |
| 9 | -11 | 2 % |
| 10 | -7 | 15 % |
| 11 | -7 | 12 % |
| 12 | -7 | 6 % |
| 13 | -9 | 2 % |
| 14 | -7 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 11.7 | 15 | +3.3 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.4 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Szymon Ludwiczak | 4 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Jakub Stojanowski | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Oskar Paluch | 3 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Mads Hansen | 3 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Woryna | 3 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Kacper Halkiewicz | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Maksym Drabik | 6 | 8.7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 11.0 | 7 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.