WRO vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 12, 2024 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden2 1 1 04+1
- 10Dan Bewley2 3 2 2 110
- 11Bartłomiej KowalskiW 1 2 3 28+1
- 12Artem Laguta3 3 3 2 314
- 13Maciej Janowski1 2 D W 14
- 14Marcel Kowolik2 0 W2+1
- 15Jakub Krawczyk3 1 15+1
- 1Jarosław Hampel3 3 3 1 212
- 2Jan Kvech0 0 0 22
- 3Rasmus Jensen1 2 3 3 09
- 4Przemysław Pawlicki3 W 2 3 W8
- 5Piotr Pawlicki2 2 W W 37
- 6Krzysztof Sadurski1 1 13
- 7Oskar Hurysz0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO3
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO2*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE1
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO1*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Maciej Janowski · WROD
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIEW
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 17 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h SW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 9 | −1 | +1 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 9 | −1 | +1 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| WRO | ZIE | WRO | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +1 | 71 % |
| 9 | +1 | 73 % |
| 10 | +5 | 92 % |
| 11 | +3 | 88 % |
| 12 | +5 | 92 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 9.8 | 14 | +4.2 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 5 | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Marcel Kowolik | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 8.2 | 4 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.