GOR vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 14, 2024 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 51 : 39 TOR

GOR

9Szymon Woźniak3 3 0 3 09
10Oskar Fajfer2 1 2 2 29+1
11Martin Vaculik1 3 2 2 210
12Jakub Miśkowiak2 2 1 2 18+4
13Anders Thomsen1 2 2 W5+1
14Oskar Paluch3 3 17+1
15Jakub Stojanowski2 0 13+2

TOR

1Patryk Dudek2 1 3 0 1 310
2Robert Lambert3 1 3 1 3 314
3Anders Rowe00
4Paweł Przedpełski0 0 0 1 01
5Emil Sajfutdinow0 2 3 3 3 112
6Krzysztof Lewandowski1 1 0 02
7Mateusz Affelt0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 160.45 s4:2

Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
Patryk Dudek · TOR2
Martin Vaculik · GOR1
Anders Rowe · TOR0

Heat 260.26 s5:1

Heat 359.59 s3:3

Heat 460.79 s5:1

Heat 560.87 s5:1

Heat 659.88 s2:4

Heat 760.30 s4:2

Heat 860.90 s3:3

Heat 961.64 s2:4

Heat 1061.09 s3:3

Heat 1161.64 s5:1

Heat 1261.83 s3:3

Heat 1361.72 s2:4

Heat 1462.33 s3:3

Heat 1561.80 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 15 → 11 °C; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind: 13 km/h NW; gusts up to 30 km/h; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 37 %; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	17	7	+10	−10
5–7	11	7	+4	−4
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	10	8	+2	−2
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	GOR	TOR	GOR	TOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	+6	89 %
3	+6	90 %
4	+10	98 %
5	+14	100 %
6	+12	99 %
7	+14	100 %
8	+14	100 %
9	+12	99 %
10	+12	100 %
11	+16	100 %
12	+16	100 %
13	+14	100 %
14	+14	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Oskar Paluch	3	4.0	7	+3.0
Szymon Woźniak	5	6.7	9	+2.3
Jakub Miśkowiak	5	5.8	8	+2.2
Robert Lambert	6	11.9	14	+2.1
Oskar Fajfer	5	7.2	9	+1.8
Jakub Stojanowski	3	1.9	3	+1.1
Patryk Dudek	6	10.2	10	-0.2
Anders Rowe	1	0.4	0	-0.4
Krzysztof Lewandowski	4	2.9	2	-0.9
Martin Vaculik	5	11.1	10	-1.1
Anders Thomsen	4	6.2	5	-1.2
Mateusz Affelt	2	1.3	0	-1.3
Emil Sajfutdinow	6	13.4	12	-1.4
Paweł Przedpełski	5	7.1	1	-6.1

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.3359.59 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 36.0:29.3 outside C + D

Trend ◀ +0.57 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source