WRO vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 9, 2023 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden1 3 04+1
- 10Dan Bewley2 2 37+1
- 11Artem Laguta2 35
- 12Piotr Pawlicki3 14
- 13Maciej Janowski1 0 34
- 14Mateusz Panicz1 0 01
- 15Bartłomiej Kowalski3 36
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 2 16+1
- 2Gleb Chugunov0 1 23+1
- 3Frederik Jakobsen0 0 11+1
- 4Vadim Tarasenko1 2 25
- 5Max Fricke2 13
- 6Kacper Pludra2 35
- 7Kacper Łobodziński0 00
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Kacper Pludra · GRU2
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU0
- Kacper Pludra · GRU3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU1*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1*
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU2
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Kacper Pludra · GRU
- Artem Laguta · WRO
- Max Fricke · GRU
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU
- Tai Woffinden · WRO
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU
- Artem Laguta · WRO
- Dan Bewley · WRO
- Max Fricke · GRU
- Maciej Janowski · WRO
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 17 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NW
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 82 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| WRO | GRU | WRO | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Pludra | 3 | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Mateusz Panicz | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Dan Bewley | 4 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 4 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 7.9 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Artem Laguta | 4 | 9.2 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 7.9 | 3 | -4.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.