GOR vs KRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 9, 2023 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon WoźniakD 1 3 3 07
- 10Oskar Fajfer3 3 2 2 212+3
- 11Martin Vaculik3 D 3 3 312
- 12Wiktor Jasinski1 1 1 25+1
- 13Anders Thomsen3 3 3 3 315
- 14Oskar Paluch3 T 03
- 15Mateusz Bartkowiak1 1 13
- 1Jason Doyle2 2 D W 2 28
- 2Mateusz Świdnicki11
- 3Vaclav Milik1 3 1 16+1
- 4Krzysztof Kasprzak2 2 2 1 D7+1
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs2 2 2 0 1 18+1
- 6Krzysztof Sadurski0 1 01
- 7Denis Zieliński2 0 02
- 8Szymon Bańdur0 00
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Szymon Woźniak · GORD
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Denis Zieliński · KRO2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO2*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Martin Vaculik · GORD
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Denis Zieliński · KRO0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · KRO1
- Jason Doyle · KROD
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR1
- Denis Zieliński · KRO0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KROD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 21 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h N
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GOR | KRO | GOR | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 10.6 | 15 | +4.4 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 7.9 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 4 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Vaclav Milik | 4 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 11.5 | 12 | +0.5 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Oskar Paluch | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 9.5 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 12.8 | 8 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.