CZE vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 11, 2023 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen2 3 3 2 212+1
- 10Maksym Drabik3 2 1 2 311+1
- 11Kacper Woryna1 3 3 3 313+1
- 12Jakub Miśkowiak1 1 1 14+1
- 13Mikkel Michelsen3 3 1 1 210+2
- 14Kacper Halkiewicz0 0 00
- 15Kajetan Kupiec1 0 23+1
- 1Bartosz Smektała3 2 2 0 0 18
- 2Hubert Jabłoński0 1 0 12+1
- 3Maurice Brown00
- 4Jaimon Lidsey2 2 3 3 3 013
- 5Adrian Miedziński2 1 03
- 6Damian Ratajczak3 1 0 2 06+1
- 7Antoni Mencel2 0 2 0 15+2
Heat by heat
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Maurice Brown · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Antoni Mencel · LES2*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · LES2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1*
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES1*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2*
- Adrian Miedziński · LES1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Antoni Mencel · LES2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Damian Ratajczak · LES2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Adrian Miedziński · LES0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE2*
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2*
- Antoni Mencel · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 21 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h N
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 40 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| CZE | LES | CZE | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 6 | 9.8 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Antoni Mencel | 5 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 5 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 11.7 | 12 | +0.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Hubert Jabłoński | 4 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Maurice Brown | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 3 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 6 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 12.1 | 10 | -2.1 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Kacper Halkiewicz | 3 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.