TOR vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 25, 2023 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Paweł Przedpełski1 1 0 U2
- 10Robert Lambert3 3 3 W D9
- 11Patryk Dudek2 3 3 2 111
- 12Wiktor Lampart0 1 1 1 14
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 1 313
- 14Krzysztof Lewandowski1 1 02+1
- 15Mateusz Affelt2 0 13
- 1Leon Madsen3 1 1 3 311+2
- 2Maksym Drabik2 2 2 3 09
- 3Kacper WorynaD 2 2 2 2 210+3
- 4Jakub Miśkowiak2 02
- 5Mikkel Michelsen1 2 1 2 3 211+2
- 6Franciszek Karczewski3 T 03
- 7Kajetan Kupiec0 W0
- 8Kacper HalkiewiczW0
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Kacper Woryna · CZED
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE3
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TORU
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Robert Lambert · TORD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 4 km/h N
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TOR | CZE | TOR | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 7.8 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 3 | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 4.0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 11.0 | 11 | +0.0 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 11.1 | 11 | -0.1 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Kacper Halkiewicz | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 2 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.