KRO vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 25, 2023 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 2 0 27
- 10Krzysztof Kasprzak2 1 0 D3+1
- 11Mateusz Świdnicki0 00
- 12Vaclav Milik0 1 3 2 3 312
- 13Jason Doyle3 2 W 2 3 111+1
- 14Krzysztof Sadurski3 0 1 04
- 15Denis Zieliński2 0 13+1
- 1Tai Woffinden2 3 1 3 211+1
- 2Dan Bewley1 1 3 2 18+1
- 3Artem Laguta3 2 3 1 09+1
- 4Piotr Pawlicki1 3 2 17+1
- 5Maciej Janowski2 3 D 2 310
- 6Bartłomiej KowalskiW 3 14
- 7Mateusz Panicz1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · KRO0
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO3
- Denis Zieliński · KRO2*
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO1
- Jason Doyle · KRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · KRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Denis Zieliński · KRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO1*
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO2*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO1
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WROD
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Denis Zieliński · KRO1
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO0
- Jason Doyle · KRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KROD
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Jason Doyle · KRO1
- Artem Laguta · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 21 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| KRO | WRO | KRO | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -12 | 2 % |
| 9 | -14 | 3 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -10 | 1 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 6.6 | 12 | +5.4 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 4 | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 7.0 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Mateusz Panicz | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 11.2 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 10.5 | 8 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.