WRO vs KRO

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 26, 2023 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław

Results

WRO 62 : 28 KRO
WRO
KRO

Heat by heat

Heat 163.87 s3:3
Heat 264.05 s4:2
Heat 363.48 s5:1
Heat 463.25 s3:3
Heat 564.03 s5:1
Heat 664.29 s4:2
Heat 763.88 s5:1
Heat 864.07 s3:3
Heat 963.62 s5:1
Heat 1064.34 s3:3
Heat 1164.66 s5:1
Heat 1263.89 s4:2
Heat 1363.85 s5:1
Heat 1465.35 s5:1
Heat 1564.82 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Clear
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
19 → 14 °C
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Wind
7 km/h N
gusts up to 19 km/h
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
48 %
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4159+6−6
5–7144+10−10
8–10117+4−4
11–13144+10−10
14–1584+4−4
WROKROWROKRO

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead WRO
05101520253035115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2+277 %
3+690 %
4+690 %
5+1096 %
6+1299 %
7+16100 %
8+16100 %
9+20100 %
10+20100 %
11+24100 %
12+26100 %
13+30100 %
14+34100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Maciej Janowski58.714+5.3
Tai Woffinden58.311+2.7
Dan Bewley47.810+2.2
Bartłomiej Kowalski45.47+1.6
Piotr Pawlicki59.010+1.0
Artem Laguta49.19-0.1
Szymon Bańdur32.22-0.2
Krzysztof Kasprzak56.26-0.2
Denis Zieliński20.40-0.4
Krzysztof Sadurski31.91-0.9
Andzejs Lebedevs68.27-1.2
Kacper Andrzejewski32.41-1.4
Vaclav Milik57.24-3.2
Jason Doyle613.48-5.4

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 65.3563.25 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 28.7:32.0 outside C + D
Trend ◀ +2.00 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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