CZE vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 28, 2023 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen1 1 3 3 311+2
- 10Maksym Drabik3 2 D D5
- 11Kacper Woryna2 3 3 2 W10
- 12Jakub Miśkowiak1 0 1 1 03
- 13Mikkel Michelsen3 3 2 3 314
- 14Kacper Halkiewicz2 1 03+1
- 15Franciszek Karczewski3 0 U3
- 1Patryk Dudek3 2 1 2 210
- 2Paweł Przedpełski0 11+1
- 3Emil Sajfutdinow0 2 3 3 2 212
- 4Wiktor Lampart2 1 1 0 15+2
- 5Robert Lambert2 3 2 2 1 111
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski1 0 0 12
- 7Mateusz Affelt0 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR0
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE3
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE2*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Maksym Drabik · CZED
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZEU
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Maksym Drabik · CZED
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Kacper Woryna · CZEW
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 16 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h NE
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| CZE | TOR | CZE | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.4 | 14 | +4.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 6.7 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 6.8 | 10 | +3.2 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 10.9 | 11 | +0.1 |
| Kacper Halkiewicz | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 4 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Maksym Drabik | 4 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 2 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 14.0 | 12 | -2.0 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 6.8 | 3 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.