TOR vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 21, 2023 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Paweł Przedpełski1 1 3 2 07
- 10Robert Lambert3 3 2 0 210+2
- 11Patryk Dudek0 2 3 3 19
- 12Wiktor Lampart0 1 1 13+1
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 1 313
- 14Krzysztof Lewandowski3 1 04
- 15Mateusz Affelt0 0 00
- 1Jarosław Hampel3 1 0 26+2
- 2Jack Holder1 2 1 2 39+1
- 3Fredrik Lindgren2 3 2 W 3 010+1
- 4Kacper Grzelak2 02
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 2 2 3 2 112+1
- 6Bartosz Bańbor2 0 02
- 7Mateusz Cierniak1 0 1 13+3
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Jack Holder · LUB1*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1*
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 14 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h E
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | LUB | TOR | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.8 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 4.6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 7.5 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 2 | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 13.9 | 12 | -1.9 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.