KRO vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 21, 2023 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno

Results

KRO 26 : 28 GOR
KRO
GOR

Heat by heat

Heat 168.02 s2:4
Heat 269.65 s1:5
Heat 368.27 s4:2
Heat 469.95 s1:5
Heat 567.91 s5:1
Heat 667.77 s3:3
Heat 768.24 s4:2
Heat 867.82 s3:3
Heat 967.34 s3:3
Heat 10
Heat 11
Heat 12
Heat 13
Heat 14
    Heat 15

      Conditions

      Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

      Sky
      Partly cloudy → Clear
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)
      Temperature
      22 → 20 °C
      Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
      Wind
      10 km/h NE
      gusts up to 32 km/h
      Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
      Rain during the meeting
      0 mm
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)
      Rain in the 24 hours before
      0.2 mm
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)
      Humidity
      41 %
      Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away

      Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

      Match by phase

      Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

      PointsBalance
      1–4816−8+8
      5–7126+6−6
      8–106600
      11–130000
      KROGORKROGOR

      The match heat by heat

      Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

      • Lead KRO
      -8-7-6-5-4-3-219
      HeatLeadHome win chance
      1-253 %
      2-627 %
      3-434 %
      4-815 %
      5-434 %
      6-433 %
      7-246 %
      8-248 %
      9-244 %

      Pre-meeting expectation

      Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

      RiderheatsExpectedScored±
      Mateusz Bartkowiak32.45+2.6
      Andzejs Lebedevs46.88+1.2
      Jason Doyle49.99-0.9
      Szymon Woźniak47.97-0.9
      Oskar Fajfer46.05-1.0
      Szymon Bańdur21.10-1.1
      Denis Zieliński32.21-1.2
      Krzysztof Sadurski22.51-1.5
      Wiktor Jasinski43.72-1.7
      Mateusz Świdnicki33.21-2.2
      Oskar Paluch34.42-2.4
      Krzysztof Kasprzak45.63-2.6
      Anders Thomsen46.74-2.7
      Vaclav Milik47.23-4.2
      Martin Vaculik48.43-5.4

      Track & gates

      Heat times

      Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

      slower 69.9567.34 faster

      Starting gates

      One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

      Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

      Inside vs outside

      Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

      inside A + B 23.3:16.0 outside C + D
      Trend ◀ +0.18
      Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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