GRU vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 19, 2023 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Max Fricke2 3 3 2 2 315
- 10Frederik Jakobsen0 2 2 0 1 16+3
- 11Gleb Chugunov0 00
- 12Vadim Tarasenko1 1 1 36
- 13Nicki Pedersen3 1 2 3 2 D11
- 14Kacper PludraW 1 0 12+1
- 15Wiktor Rafalski2 02
- 1Tai Woffinden3 3 0 1 29
- 2Dan Bewley0 2 1 3 06+1
- 3Artem Laguta1 3 3 3 212
- 4Piotr Pawlicki3 2 1 3 110+1
- 5Maciej Janowski2 1 2 05
- 6Bartłomiej Kowalski3 2 05+1
- 7Kacper Andrzejewski1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Wiktor Rafalski · GRU2
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Wiktor Rafalski · GRU0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU2*
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1*
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRUD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h NE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GRU | WRO | GRU | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -14 | 4 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -12 | 2 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 6 | 10.7 | 15 | +4.3 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 11.3 | 12 | +0.7 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 2 | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Kacper Andrzejewski | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Pludra | 4 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 9.2 | 6 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.