WRO vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 7, 2023 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden1 1 1 W3+1
- 10Dan Bewley3 2 3 3 112
- 11Artem Laguta0 2 2 3 310+1
- 12Piotr Pawlicki1 3 1 16+1
- 13Maciej Janowski3 1 3 0 310
- 14Kacper Andrzejewski0 0 00
- 15Bartłomiej Kowalski3 3 2 08+1
- 1Szymon Woźniak2 2 2 2 210+2
- 2Wiktor Jasinski0 0 00
- 3Martin Vaculik3 1 2 3 1 010+1
- 4Oskar Fajfer2 0 13+1
- 5Anders Thomsen2 3 3 2 1 213+1
- 6Mateusz Bartkowiak1 1 02+2
- 7Oskar Paluch2 0 13
- 8Mathias Pollestad00
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Artem Laguta · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Oskar Paluch · GOR2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR1*
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR1*
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1*
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Tai Woffinden · WROW
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Oskar Paluch · GOR1
- Mathias Pollestad · GOR0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 10 → 9 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h E
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| WRO | GOR | WRO | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Thomsen | 6 | 9.3 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 4 | 4.9 | 8 | +3.1 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 9.3 | 12 | +2.7 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Oskar Paluch | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Mathias Pollestad | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 3 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 11.9 | 10 | -1.9 |
| Kacper Andrzejewski | 3 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.