TOR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 5, 2023 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Paweł Przedpełski3 2 2 0 310+1
- 10Robert Lambert2 3 1 3 D9+2
- 11Patryk Dudek2 1 2 2 29+2
- 12Wiktor Lampart0 3 1 26+1
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 211+1
- 14Krzysztof Lewandowski3 3 0 17
- 15Mateusz Affelt0 0 00
- 1Gleb Chugunov0 1 01+1
- 2Max Fricke2 2 3 3 1 314
- 3Vadim Tarasenko1 2 1 3 0 D7+1
- 4Frederik Jakobsen1 0 2 3 1 29+1
- 5Nicki Pedersen1 W1+1
- 6Kacper Pludra2 U 0 1 14
- 7Wiktor Rafalski1 12+1
Heat by heat
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU0
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR3
- Kacper Pludra · GRU2
- Wiktor Rafalski · GRU1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1
- Kacper Pludra · GRUU
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Wiktor Rafalski · GRU1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRUW
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1*
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRUD
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU2*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Robert Lambert · TORD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11 → 7 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h N
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | GRU | TOR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 6 | 9.3 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 4 | 2.6 | 7 | +4.4 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 7.1 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 2 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Kacper Pludra | 5 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 3 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 11.6 | 9 | -2.6 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 2 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.