WRO vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 30, 2023 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden3 1 0 04+1
- 10Dan Bewley3 2 1 3 211
- 11Artem LagutaD 3 3 2 08
- 12Piotr Pawlicki0 W 2 2 26+1
- 13Maciej Janowski3 2 3 2 111+2
- 14Bartłomiej Kowalski3 1 26+1
- 15Kacper Andrzejewski0 0 00
- 1Leon Madsen2 1 2 1 17+1
- 2Maksym Drabik1 3 3 3 313+1
- 3Kacper Woryna1 u 0 01
- 4Jakub Miśkowiak2 2 1 3 08
- 5Mikkel Michelsen2 3 1 1 310
- 6Franciszek Karczewski2 0 02
- 7Kajetan Kupiec1 1 0 13+1
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Artem Laguta · WROD
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE2
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1*
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Artem Laguta · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h NW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 37 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| WRO | CZE | WRO | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 6.9 | 13 | +6.1 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 4 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 8.7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Kacper Andrzejewski | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Kacper Woryna | 3 | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 12.1 | 8 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.