GOR vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 28, 2023 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak3 2 3 W 19+1
- 10Oskar Fajfer1 0 1 02+1
- 11Martin Vaculik1 3 2 3 211
- 12Wiktor Jasinski0 1 1 2 15+1
- 13Anders Thomsen2 3 1 1 W7
- 14Oskar Paluch3 2 05
- 15Mateusz Bartkowiak2 0 02+1
- 1Jarosław Hampel2 2 0 37
- 2Dominik Kubera1 1 2 26+1
- 3Jack Holder0 0 3 3 28+1
- 4Fredrik Lindgren3 2 2 W 310+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 2 314+1
- 6Kacper GrzelakW 0 00
- 7Mateusz Cierniak1 1 1 03+1
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Jack Holder · LUB0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR2*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Oskar Paluch · GOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1*
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Jack Holder · LUB0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1*
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 11 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h E
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 11 | −5 | +5 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| GOR | LUB | GOR | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +1 | 68 % |
| 12 | +1 | 73 % |
| 13 | -3 | 33 % |
| 14 | -7 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiktor Jasinski | 5 | 2.2 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 7.2 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Oskar Paluch | 3 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.8 | 14 | +1.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.