TOR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 23, 2023 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Robert Lambert1 2 2 0 38+1
- 10Paweł Przedpełski2 3 0 2 07
- 11Patryk Dudek0 2 3 2 07
- 12Wiktor Lampart0 1 12+1
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 1 2 0 110+1
- 14Krzysztof Lewandowski2 0 02
- 15Mateusz Affelt1 0 12+1
- 1Tai Woffinden3 1 1 2 18+3
- 2Dan Bewley1 2 3 3 211+2
- 3Artem Laguta2 3 3 3 314+1
- 4Piotr Pawlicki3 0 2 3 210+1
- 5Maciej JanowskiT 1 0 12
- 6Bartłomiej Kowalski3 2 1 17
- 7Mateusz Panicz0 0 W0
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR2
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR1*
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR1
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 15 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h SW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TOR | WRO | TOR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 11.4 | 14 | +2.6 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 4 | 4.5 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 12.3 | 10 | -2.3 |
| Mateusz Panicz | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Maciej Janowski | 3 | 5.5 | 2 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.