LUB vs KRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, May 15, 2023 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 2 3 3 314
- 10Bartosz Bańbor0 00
- 11Jack Holder0 2 3 3 210+1
- 12Fredrik Lindgren2 3 2 2 110+4
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 312
- 14Mateusz Cierniak3 3 1 2 110+2
- 15Kacper Grzelak0 0 0 00
- 1Jason Doyle1 2 2 1 28+1
- 2Krzysztof Kasprzak0 1 1 2 37+2
- 3Vaclav Milik2 0 1 2 05
- 4Mateusz Świdnicki1 1 02+1
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs1 3 1 0 0 16+1
- 6Krzysztof Sadurski1 2 03+1
- 7Szymon Bańdur2 0 13+1
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Jason Doyle · KRO1*
- Jack Holder · LUB0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO1*
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · KRO1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · KRO1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO1*
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · KRO0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Jason Doyle · KRO1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO2
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1*
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1*
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 12 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h S
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 9.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 98 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LUB | KRO | LUB | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.6 | 14 | +5.4 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 10.1 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | +0.0 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.4 | 8 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.