CZE vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 21, 2023 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen3 3 2 3 112
- 10Kacper Woryna3 1 0 04
- 11Maksym Drabik0 3 2 3 210
- 12Jakub Miśkowiak1 2 1 2 06+3
- 13Mikkel Michelsen3 3 3 1 010
- 14Kajetan KupiecW 1 01
- 15Franciszek Karczewski1 0 12
- 1Szymon Woźniak2 2 1 0 38
- 2Wiktor Jasinski0 11+1
- 3Martin Vaculik1 1 2 2 2 210+3
- 4Oskar Fajfer2 0 1 1 15+1
- 5Anders Thomsen2 2 3 3 3 316
- 6Mateusz Bartkowiak2 0 02+1
- 7Oskar Paluch3 0 D3
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR2*
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE1
- Oskar Paluch · GORD
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 12 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h N
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| CZE | GOR | CZE | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Thomsen | 6 | 8.6 | 16 | +7.4 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.2 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | +0.0 |
| Oskar Paluch | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 12.5 | 10 | -2.5 |
| Kacper Woryna | 4 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.