WRO vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 24, 2023 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden3 1 W4+1
- 10Piotr Pawlicki2 2 2 1 1 210+2
- 11Artem LagutaU 2 35
- 13Dan Bewley2 1 0 1 2 39
- 14Kevin Małkiewicz0 0 2 02
- 15Bartłomiej Kowalski1 0 1 2 15+1
- 16Kacper Andrzejewski0 0 00
- 1Jarosław Hampel2 3 0 2 310+1
- 2Dominik Kubera3 2 3 311+1
- 3Fredrik Lindgren1 3 1 05
- 4Jack Holder3 0 3 39
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik1 3 2 39
- 6Mateusz Cierniak2 1 0 25+2
- 7Bartosz Bańbor3 1 1 16
- 8Kacper Grzelak00
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Artem Laguta · WROU
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Jack Holder · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO2*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Fog
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 12 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h N
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 82 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| WRO | LUB | WRO | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -12 | 7 % |
| 7 | -14 | 0 % |
| 8 | -16 | 1 % |
| 9 | -16 | 1 % |
| 10 | -14 | 0 % |
| 11 | -18 | 1 % |
| 12 | -20 | 0 % |
| 13 | -20 | 0 % |
| 14 | -24 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 7.8 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 4 | 2.9 | 6 | +3.1 |
| Artem Laguta | 3 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Tai Woffinden | 3 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 4 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Kacper Andrzejewski | 3 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 5 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 11.0 | 9 | -2.0 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.