CZE vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 24, 2023 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Mikkel Michelsen2 3 3 1 312+1
- 10Maksym Drabik2 1 2 1 39+1
- 11Leon Madsen0 2 2 2 17+1
- 12Jakub Miśkowiak1 3 0 2 28+1
- 13Kacper Woryna0 0 2 02
- 14Franciszek Karczewski2 1 03+2
- 15Kajetan Kupiec3 1 15+1
- 1Robert Lambert1 3 1 3 210
- 2Patryk Dudek3 2 0 3 19+1
- 3Wiktor Lampart3 0 3 2 08+1
- 4Paweł Przedpełski3 1 1 05
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 3 310+1
- 6Mateusz Affelt1 01
- 7Oskar Rumiński0 00
- 8Krzysztof Lewandowski0 1 01
Heat by heat
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE3
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE2*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR1
- Oskar Rumiński · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1*
- Oskar Rumiński · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2*
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 16 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h NW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| CZE | TOR | CZE | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.7 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 3 | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 5.7 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 10.2 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Oskar Rumiński | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Kacper Woryna | 4 | 5.5 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.5 | 7 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.