KRO vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, April 27, 2023 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Jason Doyle1 3 3 3 212
- 10Vaclav Milik2 2 0 3 18+3
- 11Mateusz Świdnicki0 00
- 12Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 3 2 111+2
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 1 1 27
- 14Krzysztof Sadurski3 3 0 2 08+1
- 15Denis Zieliński2 0 24+1
- 1Patryk Dudek3 3 2 W 0 08
- 2Paweł Przedpełski2 1 1 3 07+1
- 3Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 3 2 3 316+1
- 4Wiktor Lampart1 1 2 15+1
- 5Robert Lambert0 1 12
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski1 0 0 12
- 7Mateusz Affelt0 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2*
- Jason Doyle · KRO1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · KRO0
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO3
- Denis Zieliński · KRO2*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · KRO0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Denis Zieliński · KRO0
- Jason Doyle · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Jason Doyle · KRO3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · KRO3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO2*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Denis Zieliński · KRO2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO1*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 9 → 7 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| KRO | TOR | KRO | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 6.3 | 11 | +4.7 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 5 | 4.1 | 8 | +3.9 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 13.1 | 16 | +2.9 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 4 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Robert Lambert | 3 | 7.0 | 2 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.