GOR vs GRU

PGE Ekstraliga · Tuesday, April 18, 2023 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 51 : 39 GRU

GOR

9Szymon Woźniak3 3 3 2 213+1
10Oskar Fajfer3 1 2 1 18+2
11Martin Vaculik1 2 3 1 29
12Wiktor Jasinski2 1 W 03
13Anders Thomsen1 3 3 3 313+1
14Oskar Paluch2 1 14
15Mateusz Bartkowiak1 0 01+1

GRU

1Frederik Jakobsen2 1 0 1 04+1
2Max Fricke0 2 1 3 3 09
3Gleb Chugunov0 3 2 05
4Norbert Krakowiak2 D 02
5Nicki Pedersen3 2 2 3 2 113
6Kacper Pludra3 0 1 26+1
7Kacper Łobodziński0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 160.62 s4:2

Heat 261.25 s3:3

Heat 361.07 s3:3

Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2
Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
Max Fricke · GRU0

Heat 461.04 s4:2

Heat 561.30 s3:3

Heat 661.16 s3:3

Heat 760.30 s4:2

Heat 860.73 s4:2

Heat 960.38 s5:1

Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
Oskar Fajfer · GOR2*
Max Fricke · GRU1
Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0

Heat 1060.95 s3:3

Heat 1161.78 s2:4

Heat 1261.15 s1:5

Heat 1360.96 s4:2

Heat 1461.39 s3:3

Max Fricke · GRU3
Martin Vaculik · GOR2
Oskar Fajfer · GOR1*
Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0

Heat 1560.97 s5:1

Anders Thomsen · GOR3
Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
Max Fricke · GRU0

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 14 → 9 °C; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind: 13 km/h N; gusts up to 24 km/h; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 70 %; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	14	10	+4	−4
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	GOR	GRU	GOR	GRU

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+2	77 %
4	+4	83 %
5	+4	83 %
6	+4	82 %
7	+6	90 %
8	+8	94 %
9	+12	99 %
10	+12	100 %
11	+10	97 %
12	+6	92 %
13	+8	98 %
14	+8	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Szymon Woźniak	5	8.7	13	+4.3
Anders Thomsen	5	9.3	13	+3.7
Kacper Pludra	4	4.2	6	+1.8
Wiktor Jasinski	4	2.3	3	+0.7
Oskar Fajfer	5	7.5	8	+0.5
Oskar Paluch	3	3.6	4	+0.4
Nicki Pedersen	6	13.2	13	-0.2
Max Fricke	6	9.4	9	-0.4
Gleb Chugunov	4	5.6	5	-0.6
Mateusz Bartkowiak	3	2.0	1	-1.0
Frederik Jakobsen	5	5.3	4	-1.3
Kacper Łobodziński	2	1.5	0	-1.5
Norbert Krakowiak	3	4.8	2	-2.8
Martin Vaculik	5	12.6	9	-3.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.7860.30 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 39.3:24.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.13 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source