CZE vs LUB

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 16, 2023 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa

Results

CZE 41 : 49 LUB

CZE

9Leon Madsen2 2 1 2 1 311+2
10Jakub Miśkowiak1 2 0 03
11Maksym Drabik1 3 2 3 0 09+1
12Anton Karlsson0 11+1
13Mikkel Michelsen1 3 3 3 2 214
14Kajetan Kupiec0 2 02
15Franciszek Karczewski1 0 01

LUB

1Jarosław Hampel3 1 1 0 27+1
2Dominik Kubera2 2 3 2 110+1
3Fredrik Lindgren0 0 1 12+1
4Jack Holder3 1 2 2 19+1
5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 315
6Kacper Grzelak2 D 02+1
7Mateusz Cierniak3 0 14+1

Heat by heat

Heat 165.12 s3:3

Heat 265.33 s1:5

Heat 365.13 s1:5

Heat 465.89 s3:3

Heat 565.19 s5:1

Maksym Drabik · CZE3
Leon Madsen · CZE2*
Jack Holder · LUB1
Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0

Heat 665.07 s3:3

Heat 764.80 s3:3

Heat 865.24 s3:3

Heat 964.92 s2:4

Heat 1064.42 s3:3

Heat 1165.15 s4:2

Heat 1265.22 s3:3

Heat 1364.69 s2:4

Heat 1465.75 s3:3

Leon Madsen · CZE3
Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
Jack Holder · LUB1*
Maksym Drabik · CZE0

Heat 1565.24 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 13 → 11 °C; Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Wind: 8 km/h N; gusts up to 17 km/h; Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 2.2 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 65 %; Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	8	16	−8	+8
5–7	11	7	+4	−4
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	CZE	LUB	CZE	LUB

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead CZE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	-4	37 %
3	-8	13 %
4	-8	15 %
5	-4	34 %
6	-4	33 %
7	-4	32 %
8	-4	35 %
9	-6	20 %
10	-6	15 %
11	-4	18 %
12	-4	20 %
13	-6	4 %
14	-6	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Mikkel Michelsen	6	9.0	14	+5.0
Bartosz Zmarzlik	5	12.9	15	+2.1
Maksym Drabik	6	6.9	9	+2.1
Jack Holder	5	7.7	9	+1.3
Kacper Grzelak	3	1.4	2	+0.6
Anton Karlsson	2	0.9	1	+0.1
Dominik Kubera	5	10.1	10	-0.1
Mateusz Cierniak	3	4.2	4	-0.2
Leon Madsen	6	11.5	11	-0.5
Kajetan Kupiec	3	3.0	2	-1.0
Franciszek Karczewski	3	2.3	1	-1.3
Jakub Miśkowiak	4	4.7	3	-1.7
Jarosław Hampel	5	8.8	7	-1.8
Fredrik Lindgren	4	6.5	2	-4.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 65.8964.42 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 34.3:26.3 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.00 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source