TOR vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 17, 2023 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek1 1 0 13
- 10Wiktor Lampart2 3 1 1 29+1
- 11Robert Lambert3 3 3 2 112
- 12Paweł Przedpełski0 2 2 0 37+2
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 3 315
- 14Oskar RumińskiU 11
- 15Mateusz Affelt2 0 13+1
- 16Krzysztof Lewandowski00
- 1Leon Madsen0 2 2 3 29+1
- 2Jakub Miśkowiak1 1 3 3 D8+2
- 3Kacper Woryna2 1 W 03
- 4Maksym Drabik3 0 2 2 18+1
- 5Mikkel Michelsen2 2 U 2 D6
- 6Kajetan Kupiec3 1 15
- 7Kacper Halkiewicz1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE3
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR2
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE1
- Oskar Rumiński · TORU
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Oskar Rumiński · TOR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZEU
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR1*
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2*
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZED
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZED
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 24 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h E
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| TOR | CZE | TOR | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 6.0 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 3 | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 5.7 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 3 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Oskar Rumiński | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Kacper Woryna | 4 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Kacper Halkiewicz | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 6.8 | 3 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.