WRO vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 10, 2023 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Piotr Pawlicki2 1 1 0 37+1
- 10Dan Bewley2 3 2 2 312+1
- 11Charles Wright1 1 W2+2
- 12Artem Laguta3 2 3 1 110
- 13Maciej Janowski2 M2+1
- 14Bartłomiej Kowalski3 3 W 3 211+1
- 15Kevin Małkiewicz2 1 2 2 07+2
- 1Wiktor Lampart0 22+1
- 2Robert Lambert0 3 0 1 04
- 3Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 3 1 013
- 4Paweł Przedpełski1 0 1 2 15+1
- 5Patryk Dudek1 2 2 3 3 213
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski1 0 12
- 7Oskar Rumiński00
- 8Mateusz Affelt0 00
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO2
- Charles Wright · WRO1*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO2*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Oskar Rumiński · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Charles Wright · WRO1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2*
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WROM
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1*
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 18 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 3 km/h NE
- gusts up to 9 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| WRO | TOR | WRO | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 5 | 3.2 | 7 | +3.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 9.5 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 8.6 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 5 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 2 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 2 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Charles Wright | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Oskar Rumiński | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Maciej Janowski | 2 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 14.7 | 13 | -1.7 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 10.4 | 4 | -6.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.