LUB vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 10, 2023 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 2 1 28+1
- 10Dominik Kubera3 1 3 07+1
- 11Fredrik Lindgren0 2 2 3 310+2
- 12Jack Holder0 3 3 39
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 3 314
- 14Mateusz Cierniak3 2 1 17+1
- 15Bartosz Bańbor1 1 1 03+1
- 1Mikkel Michelsen2 0 2 1 27
- 2Jakub Miśkowiak2 3 0 2 29
- 3Kacper Woryna1 0 2 1 15+3
- 4Maksym Drabik1 1 02
- 5Leon Madsen1 3 1 0 2 07+1
- 6Franciszek Karczewski2 0 02
- 7Kacper Halkiewicz0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Jack Holder · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 21 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h SE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LUB | CZE | LUB | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 4.7 | 9 | +4.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 4 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 5.0 | 5 | +0.0 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Kacper Halkiewicz | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Maksym Drabik | 3 | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 10.4 | 7 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.