TOR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 27, 2023 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek1 1 1 14+2
- 10Wiktor Lampart1 3 2 1 07
- 11Robert Lambert2 1 2 3 08+1
- 12Paweł Przedpełski0 0 3 14
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 3 3 318
- 14Oskar Rumiński1 01
- 15Krzysztof Lewandowski2 0 0 13
- 1Piotr Pawlicki0 2 3 0 T5
- 2Dan Bewley1 1 0 2 26+3
- 3Artem Laguta3 3 1 2 T9+1
- 4Tai Woffinden2 2 2 2 19+3
- 5Maciej Janowski2 2 0 04
- 6Bartłomiej Kowalski3 3 1 3 212
- 7Kevin MałkiewiczU 0 00
Heat by heat
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR2
- Oskar Rumiński · TOR1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WROU
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Oskar Rumiński · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 18 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 7.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 84 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TOR | WRO | TOR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 5 | 5.5 | 12 | +6.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 13.6 | 18 | +4.4 |
| Artem Laguta | 4 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 4 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Oskar Rumiński | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 3 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 10.2 | 6 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.