LUB vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 20, 2023 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 1 3 3 111
- 10Dominik Kubera3 3 0 1 29+2
- 11Fredrik Lindgren1 1 2 3 310+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik2 1 2 3 2 313
- 14Kacper Grzelak1 01
- 15Bartosz BańborD 00
- 16Mateusz Cierniak3 0 0 1 15
- 1Wiktor Lampart0 2 2 04+1
- 2Robert Lambert3 3 1 2 09+1
- 3Patryk Dudek2 2 1 0 16+1
- 4Paweł Przedpełski2 3 3 2 212
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow1 2 1 3 W7
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski2 0 02
- 7Mateusz Affelt1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR2
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUBD
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 4 km/h W
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LUB | TOR | LUB | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 5.9 | 12 | +6.1 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 2 | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 3 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 14.0 | 13 | -1.0 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.4 | 7 | -3.4 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 8.5 | 5 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.