CZE vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 20, 2023 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Kacper Woryna1 1 2 1 16+2
- 10Maksym Drabik2 3 3 2 111
- 11Leon Madsen2 3 3 3 314
- 12Jakub Miśkowiak1 2 1 26+2
- 13Mikkel Michelsen2 2 3 1 311+1
- 14Franciszek Karczewski1 1 02+1
- 15Kajetan KupiecT 0 00
- 1Szymon Woźniak3 3 1 0 0 07
- 2Wiktor Jasinski0 1 01
- 3Oskar FajferD 1 2 2 0 27
- 4Mathias Pollestad0 00
- 5Martin Vaculik3 2 2 3 3 215
- 6Oskar Paluch3 3 1 0 18+2
- 7Jakub Stojanowski2 02+1
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Oskar Fajfer · GORD
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR2*
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE1*
- Mathias Pollestad · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1
- Mathias Pollestad · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2
- Oskar Paluch · GOR1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2
- Oskar Paluch · GOR1*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1*
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 29 → 24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 5 km/h W
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| CZE | GOR | CZE | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 11.1 | 14 | +2.9 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Oskar Paluch | 5 | 6.0 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 13.8 | 15 | +1.2 |
| Jakub Stojanowski | 2 | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Mathias Pollestad | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 6 | 9.0 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.