TOR vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 13, 2023 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Robert Lambert2 3 1 0 1 29+1
- 10Paweł Przedpełski3 1 04
- 11Patryk Dudek0 3 2 2 18
- 12Wiktor Lampart2 0 1 2 05+1
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow1 2 3 3 312+1
- 14Mateusz AffeltW 2 02
- 15Krzysztof Lewandowski1 0 12+1
- 1Jarosław Hampel3 3 2 3 011+1
- 2Dominik Kubera0 1 3 3 310
- 3Fredrik Lindgren1 1 2 0 26+2
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 2 111
- 6Kacper GrzelakW 00
- 7Bartosz Bańbor2 0 02+1
- 8Mateusz Cierniak3 W 2 1 17+1
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1*
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 12 | −1 | +1 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | LUB | TOR | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -1 | 62 % |
| 5 | -1 | 64 % |
| 6 | -3 | 48 % |
| 7 | -1 | 60 % |
| 8 | -1 | 57 % |
| 9 | -5 | 28 % |
| 10 | -5 | 22 % |
| 11 | -7 | 12 % |
| 12 | -7 | 6 % |
| 13 | -5 | 14 % |
| 14 | -9 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 7.0 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.4 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 3 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 2 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 9.8 | 7 | -2.8 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.5 | 6 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.