WRO vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Wednesday, August 9, 2023 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden0 2 2 15
- 10Dan Bewley2 0 1 3 17+1
- 11Artem Laguta3 3 0 3 312
- 12Piotr Pawlicki0 1 3 3 07
- 13Maciej Janowski3 2 1 0 06
- 14Kevin Małkiewicz0 1 01+1
- 15Bartłomiej Kowalski2 0 13
- 1Jarosław Hampel2 3 0 2 29+1
- 2Dominik Kubera1 1 3 2 29+1
- 3Fredrik Lindgren1 2 3 2 19+2
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 1 1 310+2
- 6Kacper Grzelak1 01
- 7Bartosz Bańbor1 2 03+1
- 8Mateusz Cierniak3 3 0 2 08
Heat by heat
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO1*
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1*
- Artem Laguta · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2*
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 13 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h NW
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 8.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| WRO | LUB | WRO | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 8.9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 2 | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 8.7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.