CZE vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 4, 2023 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen1 2 1 3 29+2
- 10Maksym Drabik3 3 2 3 213
- 11Kacper Woryna0 2 0 35+1
- 12Jakub Miśkowiak0 3 3 1 07
- 13Mikkel Michelsen1 2 3 1 07
- 14Kacper Halkiewicz2 1 03
- 15Franciszek Karczewski0 00
- 16Kajetan Kupiec11
- 1Max Fricke3 3 3 2 314
- 2Gleb Chugunov2 1 0 2 38+1
- 3Vadim Tarasenko2 T 2 0 15+1
- 4Frederik Jakobsen2 1 1 04+1
- 5Nicki Pedersen3 1 2 2 19
- 6Kacper Pludra3 0 0 14+1
- 7Kacper Łobodziński1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Kacper Pludra · GRU3
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU2
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU1
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1*
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU2
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 20 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 3 km/h SE
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 76 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| CZE | GRU | CZE | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -10 | 7 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 5 | 9.9 | 14 | +4.1 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 9.8 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Kacper Halkiewicz | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 1 | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Kacper Pludra | 4 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 4 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.5 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Kacper Woryna | 4 | 8.2 | 5 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.