TOR vs KRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 21, 2023 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Robert Lambert2 3 3 3 314+1
- 10Paweł Przedpełski2 2 2 28+3
- 11Patryk Dudek3 3 3 312
- 12Wiktor Lampart2 1 W 1 26+2
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 312
- 14Mateusz Affelt2 1 0 03+1
- 15Krzysztof Lewandowski1 1 02+1
- 16Nicolai Heiselberg11
- 1Jason Doyle1 2 1 2 1 310
- 2Mateusz Świdnicki0 D0
- 4Vaclav Milik3 2 2 0 0 29+1
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs1 1 2 2 0 17
- 6Krzysztof Sadurski0 0 11
- 7Szymon Bańdur3 0 U3
- 8Denis Zieliński0 1 1 02+2
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Jason Doyle · KRO1
- Denis Zieliński · KRO0
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO3
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · KROD
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Szymon Bańdur · KROU
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Denis Zieliński · KRO1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Jason Doyle · KRO1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO1
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Denis Zieliński · KRO1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Jason Doyle · KRO1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Denis Zieliński · KRO0
- Jason Doyle · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · TOR1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 22 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h NW
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 36 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | KRO | TOR | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 10.8 | 14 | +3.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 9.3 | 12 | +2.7 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Denis Zieliński | 4 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 1 | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 4 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 12.0 | 10 | -2.0 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 11.3 | 7 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.