GRU vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 23, 2023 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Max Fricke3 3 2 0 1 110+1
- 10Gleb Chugunov1 2 1 1 27+2
- 11Vadim Tarasenko0 0 33
- 12Frederik Jakobsen0 1 12
- 13Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 D 211
- 14Kacper Łobodziński1 0 01+1
- 15Kacper Pludra2 1 3 1 T7
- 1Szymon Woźniak1 0 0 23+2
- 2Wiktor Jasinski1 2 3 2 08+1
- 3Martin Vaculik2 3 2 310
- 4Oskar Fajfer2 2 1 3 311+3
- 5Anders Thomsen2 1 2 2 310+1
- 6Oskar Paluch3 3 0 W6
- 7Jakub Stojanowski0 0 11
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Kacper Pludra · GRU2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1*
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2*
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Kacper Pludra · GRU3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1
- Max Fricke · GRU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRUD
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU2
- Max Fricke · GRU1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Max Fricke · GRU1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h SW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GRU | GOR | GRU | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiktor Jasinski | 5 | 4.5 | 8 | +3.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Oskar Paluch | 4 | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Kacper Pludra | 5 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 4 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 11.0 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Jakub Stojanowski | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 3 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 13.7 | 10 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.