WRO vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 9, 2023 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Piotr Pawlicki2 1 3 17
- 10Dan Bewley3 3 2 3 112+2
- 11Artem LagutaM 1 3 3 310
- 12Tai Woffinden1 3 2 3 D9+1
- 13Maciej Janowski3 2 3 2 212+1
- 14Kacper Andrzejewski2 0 02+1
- 15Bartłomiej Kowalski3 1 15+1
- 1Patryk Dudek3 3 1 2 2 314
- 2Paweł Przedpełski0 0 00
- 3Robert Lambert1 2 1 1 27+1
- 4Nicolai Heiselberg1 0 0 12+1
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 2 1 0 07
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski1 2 0 03
- 7Mateusz Affelt0 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Artem Laguta · WROM
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO2*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · TOR1*
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · TOR1
- Tai Woffinden · WROD
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 31 → 30 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h N
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 24 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| WRO | TOR | WRO | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 8.9 | 14 | +5.1 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 7.2 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 9.3 | 12 | +2.7 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 4 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 4 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Kacper Andrzejewski | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 14.3 | 7 | -7.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.