CZE vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 2, 2023 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen2 2 W 3 2 312
- 10Maksym Drabik1 1 3 1 39+1
- 11Kacper WorynaW 1 1 2 26+1
- 12Jakub Miśkowiak1 01
- 13Mikkel Michelsen0 2 3 1 0 06+1
- 14Kajetan Kupiec1 0 01+1
- 15Franciszek Karczewski2 1 14+1
- 1Piotr Pawlicki1 W 1 35
- 2Dan Bewley3 3 2 3 213
- 3Artem Laguta3 3 2 3 112+1
- 4Tai Woffinden2 2 1 05+3
- 5Maciej Janowski2 3 2 2 110+2
- 6Bartłomiej Kowalski3 3 W 06
- 7Mateusz Panicz0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE2
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1*
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1*
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE1*
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 16 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h W
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 7 | 17 | −10 | +10 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| CZE | WRO | CZE | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -10 | 8 % |
| 5 | -14 | 0 % |
| 6 | -14 | 4 % |
| 7 | -14 | 0 % |
| 8 | -14 | 0 % |
| 9 | -14 | 3 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -16 | 0 % |
| 14 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 8.8 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 4 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 12.4 | 12 | -0.4 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Mateusz Panicz | 3 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.