LES vs LUB

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 16, 2023 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno

Results

LES 38 : 52 LUB

LES

9Bartosz Smektała2 3 1 2 2 1 314+1
12Jaimon Lidsey2 2 2 3 1 1 213+3
13Adrian Miedziński0 00
14Antoni Mencel0 1 0 1 02
15Damian Ratajczak0 2 1 0 2 0 38
16Hubert Jabłoński0 11

LUB

1Jarosław Hampel3 2 1 39+1
2Jack Holder1 3 3 310
3Fredrik Lindgren1 1 2 26+1
4Antti Vuolas1 0 0 01
5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 312
6Mateusz Cierniak3 3 2 19+1
7Kacper Grzelak2 0 1 03+1
8Bartosz Bańbor0 22

Heat by heat

Heat 162.94 s2:4

Heat 263.72 s1:5

Heat 362.67 s2:4

Heat 463.49 s2:4

Heat 563.26 s5:1

Heat 663.56 s1:5

Heat 762.57 s3:3

Heat 863.15 s4:2

Heat 963.46 s2:4

Heat 1062.29 s1:5

Heat 1163.18 s3:3

Heat 1263.20 s2:4

Heat 1363.20 s1:5

Heat 1463.51 s4:2

Heat 1562.72 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 20 → 17 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 10 km/h W; gusts up to 20 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 5.6 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 67 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	7	17	−10	+10
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	7	11	−4	+4
11–13	6	12	−6	+6
14–15	9	3	+6	−6
	LES	LUB	LES	LUB

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LES

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	-6	27 %
3	-8	13 %
4	-10	8 %
5	-6	22 %
6	-10	8 %
7	-10	5 %
8	-8	12 %
9	-10	2 %
10	-14	0 %
11	-14	2 %
12	-16	0 %
13	-20	0 %
14	-18	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Bartosz Smektała	7	11.1	14	+2.9
Bartosz Zmarzlik	4	10.6	12	+1.4
Kacper Grzelak	4	1.8	3	+1.2
Jarosław Hampel	4	8.1	9	+0.9
Mateusz Cierniak	4	8.3	9	+0.7
Jack Holder	4	9.3	10	+0.7
Jaimon Lidsey	7	12.3	13	+0.7
Bartosz Bańbor	2	2.1	2	-0.1
Damian Ratajczak	7	8.2	8	-0.2
Hubert Jabłoński	2	1.4	1	-0.4
Adrian Miedziński	2	1.2	0	-1.2
Antoni Mencel	5	3.5	2	-1.5
Fredrik Lindgren	4	8.3	6	-2.3
Antti Vuolas	4	3.7	1	-2.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 63.7262.29 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 35.3:25.3 outside C + D

Trend ◀ +0.17

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source